2008/06/01

Financial Times - Inflation , oil and impact on stocks prices

In this article and in The Economist (Double , double and oil trouble) we see that:
  • ECB is not seen to cut interest rate until yearend
  • oil demand for OECD coutries are falling since 2006
  • China , seen as one of the most relevant oil buyer , really increased the demand in the first quarter of 2008 but to create oil stocks to avoid any shortages during Olympics
  • in 2007 world demand increased only by 0,5%.
If oil prices would drop , inflationary pressure would diminish and then ECB could cut interest rate.
There is a correlation between rates and P/E : the lower the first , the higher the seconds .
Can we forecast growing stocks prices for the next year ?

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